Department of Political Science and International Relations
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Item ASSESSMENT OF CROSS BORDER ARMS TRAFFICKING IN NIGERIA AND ITS IMPLICATIONS FOR REGIONAL SECURITY(Covenant University, Ota, 2026-06) OFFONG, Jeremiah Etuk; Covenant University, DissertationThe study assesses cross border arms trafficking in Nigeria and its implications for Regional Security. The illicit movement of arms across the borders is one serious challenge to Nigeria's national security, institutional integrity and sustainable developmental path. Even though Nigeria has an extensive regime of international, regional and national legal obligations on the issue of small arms and light weapons, such as the ECOWAS Convention on Small Arms and Light Weapons, the Arms Trade Treaty and the United Nations Programme of Action, hundreds of thousands of Nigerians have been killed and millions displaced by the insurgency, banditry, farmer-herder clashes and organised crime that continues to plague the country via its 4,047 km borders with Niger, Cameroon, Chad and Benin. To achieve the objective of this study, qualitative research design with descriptive trend analysis of secondary data were used in the study. Some secondary sources were analysed using systematic document analysis that was structured around SDG 16 indicators and organised into five categories: Arms seizure reports, Violence and conflict datasets, Border Security and governance assessments, Regional and international organisation reports, and peer-reviewed journal articles (2010 to 2025). The study findings showed that cross-border arms trafficking in Nigeria is a self-reinforcing structural governance problem, which requires concurrently integrated reforms in institutional integrity, border infrastructure, socio-economic development, regional security cooperation and technological modernisation. The study recommended that the government of Nigeria needs to make an urgent priority reform of institutional integrity in the border security agencies as a precondition for all other investments in counter-arms trafficking and concluded that Nigeria, ECOWAS and the international community need an integrated, simultaneous and structurally adequate response to the issue of arms trafficking on a global scale.Item DISINFORMATION IN THE DIGITAL AGE: AN ASSESSMENT OF NIGERIA-US SECURITY RELATIONS, 2017-2025(Covenant University, Ota, 2026-08) CHIMA, Samuel Kalu Chima; Covenant University, DissertationDigital disinformation has become a major obstacle in the functioning of bilateral security relationships in today's international order, especially with regard to cooperation between developed and developing countries. As a result, this study to examined the effect of digital disinformation on Nigeria-United States security cooperation between 2017 and 2025, when Boko Haram and the Islamic State West Africa Province (ISWAP) have been present and foreign malign influence operations in Africa have been on the increase. This research adopted a qualitative approach, grounded in semi-structured key informant interviews with 20 purposively selected respondents from academia, military, intelligence, diplomatic practice, media and civil society, complemented by policy documents, institutional reports and publications. The results show that disinformation has had a significant effect on bilateral trust, especially in the form of exaggerated claims of religious persecution that led to Nigeria being redesignated as a Country of Particular Concern (CPC) in October 2025. The disinformation strategies that are used are multi-layered, such as social media amplification, generative AI, recontextualized content, influencer laundering, and high-level lobbying. The study reveals a diverse multi-actor landscape of foreign state actors, domestic political actors, separatist/extramist groups, religious advocacy networks, and profit-driven platforms. The research combines constructivism and realism, highlighting the disinformation as an instrument of power competition and an ideational reconstruction process. To counter the erosion of bilateral trust, this study recommends the establishment of a joint Nigeria-United States bilateral mechanism for the coordinated identification, attribution, and disruption of disinformation networks targeting their security cooperation, building on and expanding the framework previously developed by the US Global Engagement Center before its mandate lapsed in December 2024.The study concludes that coordinated approaches of the statutory, technological, communicative, educational and bilateral cooperative nature are necessary for the effectiveness of countermeasures. Suggested solutions encompass establishing of a formal bilateral mechanism for countering disinformation, institutionalisation of fast-track strategic communication, strengthening regulatory processes with safeguards for civil liberties, increasing digital literacy initiatives, and independent fact-checking institutions.Item EFFECT OF FLEXIBLE WORK ARRANGEMENTS ON EMPLOYEES’ PRODUCTIVITY IN LAGOS STATE PUBLIC SERVICE(Covenant University, Ota, 2026-08) DEBO-ADELEYE, Naomi Adefesola; Covenant University, DissertationThe growing adoption of flexible work arrangements (FWAs), accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic and Nigeria's 2024 fuel subsidy removal, has raised important questions about their productivity implications in bureaucratic public institutions. Although the Lagos State Government introduced a formal flexible work policy in February 2024, empirical evidence on its effectiveness remained limited. This study examined the effect of telecommuting, flexible working hours, compressed work schedules, and job sharing on employee productivity in the Lagos State Public Service and assessed the moderating roles of supervision, performance monitoring, and accountability mechanisms. A cross-sectional mixed-methods design was adopted. The population comprised 4,665 employees from three selected Lagos State ministries, sampled using Krejcie and Morgan's (1970) method, with 335 questionnaires yielding 304 valid responses (76.2%) and 15 structured interviews. Quantitative data were analysed using descriptive statistics, Pearson's correlation, one-way ANOVA, multiple regression, and moderation analysis; qualitative data were analysed thematically. FWA prevalence was uniformly low across all three ministries, with no significant inter-ministerial differences [F (2, 301) = 0.545, p = .580, η² = 0.004], supporting the first null hypothesis. Regression analysis showed that FWAs significantly predicted employee productivity, explaining 69.3% of variance (R² = 0.693, p < 0.001), rejecting the second null hypothesis. Job sharing and flexible working hours were the strongest independent predictors. Supervision, performance monitoring, and accountability mechanisms did not significantly moderate the FWA–productivity relationship (p > 0.05), supporting the third null hypothesis, though each independently predicted productivity. Qualitatively, paper-based processes, inadequate ICT infrastructure, and presence-based supervision were the primary barriers to implementation. FWAs, particularly through job sharing and flexible working hours, hold significant potential for productivity in the Lagos State Public Service. It is therefore recommended that the Lagos State Government institutionalise a comprehensive FWA Policy Framework, invest in ICT infrastructure, and transition to output-based performance management.Item ASSESSMENT OF NATIONAL COUNTER TERRORISM STRATEGY AND HUMAN SECURITY IN BORNO STATE, NIGERIA(Covenant University, Ota, 2026-08) JOSEPH, Ruth Modupeoluwa; Covenant University, DissertationTerrorism is still impacting Borno State more than a decade after the National Counter- Terrorism Strategy (NACTEST) of Nigeria was adopted, leaving a question of how far the strategy has gone in yielding its desired results. While military operations have played a role in territorial recovery, a focus on timely security responses appears to have overshadowed other non-kinetic considerations, such as civilian protection. The study addresses the four pillars of the strategy: Forestall, Secure, Identify, and Implement and their respective dimensions for addressing issues relating to radicalisation, civilian protection, early warning, and institution coordination. The analysis is guided by Human Security Theory and Policy Implementation Theory and adopts a single-case embedded qualitative design. Borno State was selected because its setting of insurgency, military action, displacement, and reintegration provides a suitable context for understanding the implementation of policy decisions. Primary data were collected through twenty semi-structured interviews with military personnel, civil society representatives, community members, and academic experts. Thematic and discourse analyses were adopted to analyse these accounts using secondary sources. The findings reveal that NACTEST remains military oriented and, at times, states’ security focus is more on military than on human security. The Forestall pillar is still hindered by socio-economic exclusion and resistance to the return of the former combatants. The Secure pillar has helped reclaim territory from insurgent groups but has also been associated with reductions in civil rights and disruptions to livelihoods. Competition amongst institutions further inhibits the sharing of intelligence and cooperation and reduces the impact of the Identify and Implement pillars. Patterns show that military success is not enough for long-term stabilisation in an environment of institutional weaknesses and unresolved community grievances. There is a need for a more balanced approach, with focus on civilian welfare, human rights and effective security operations. The study calls for the enhancement of socio-economic measures, accountability of institutions, protection of victims, and reliable information sharing. This can help ease the de-radicalisation of environments and help foster social cohesion in these communities. The study also advances the literature on security studies by studying and assessing counterterrorism policy through civilian safety and public trust as measures of policy success.