College of Management and Social Sciences

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    A Cointegration Analysis of the Impact of Selected Macroeconomic Fundamentals on Stock Market Performance in Nigeria
    (Academy of Strategic Management Journal Vol: 20, 2021) Ehikioya, Benjamin Ighodalo; Omankhanlen, Alexander Ehimare; Omodero, Cordelia Onyinyechi; Isibor, Areghan Akhanolu; Akinjare, Victoria Abosede; Okoye, Lawrence Uchenna
    The stock market and macroeconomic fundamental variables are important elements with a significant impact on economic growth and development. Thus, using the Johansen cointegration technique and the Vector Error Correction Model, this paper examines the connection between stock market performance and macroeconomic fundamentals in Nigeria. The study employs data from the Nigerian Stock Exchange and the Central Bank of Nigeria from 2010 to 2019. The findings from the empirical analysis reveal evidence that a long-run equilibrium connection exists between stock market prices and several macroeconomic factors in Nigeria. The result of the study indicates that the exchange rate and inflation exerts a negative influence on stock prices. A positive connection exists between money supply, crude oil prices, financial openness and stock prices in Nigeria. However, the result from the post-2016 economic recession reveals a negative and significant influence of crude oil prices on stock prices while all other variables maintain their direction of relationship with stock prices. This result implies that there is a need for the government to embark on aggressive economic diversification to other sectors of the economy. Also, the government must reduce the interest rate to encourage investment in the stock market, in addition to creating an enabling environment through policies and programs that would stimulate the economy and boost investors’ confidence.
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    IMPACT OF MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES ON FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN OIL AND GAS INDUSTRY IN NIGERIA
    (Covenant University Ota, 2025-06) GBEBIKAN, Anthonia Motunrayo; Covenant University Dissertation
    Foreign direct investment (FDI) has historically been significantly influenced by Nigeria's oil and gas industry, but ongoing inflationary pressures continue to threaten the stability of investments. The overall increase in price levels, or inflation, affects macroeconomic factors including interest rates, currency rates, and investor confidence. Nigeria's inflation rate has fluctuated over time, which has affected capital inflows into important economic sectors. This study investigated the relationship between macroeconomic variables, sustainable development goal (SDG), and foreign direct investment (FDI) in Nigeria while focusing on the oil and gas sector in Nigeria. The study specifically examined how inflation, exchange rate, global oil price, SDG goal 8 of economic growth measured by economic growth rate, and the control variable interest rate impacted FDI in Nigeria using time series data from 1990 till 2023. The study adopted the ex post facto research design and secondary data from the reports of the World Development Index, Central Bank of Nigeria, National Bureau of Statistics, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries were used in this study. The estimation techniques used in this study was the Autoregressive Distributive Lag. Findings showed that inflation, exchange rate, and the control variable interest rate had negative and significant impacts while economic growth rate, global oil prices, and the second control variable sustainability index had positive and significant impacts on Nigeria’s foreign direct investment. The study thus recommended that the Central Bank should focus more in managing inflation by controlling excess money in the economy.